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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Xherdan Shaqiri scored twice in the second half to put the game beyond Luzern, as Basel ran out comfortable 4-2 winners in the Swiss Super League despite the home side hitting the woodwork and generating more shots overall.
Xherdan Shaqiri scored twice in the second half to put the game beyond Luzern, as Basel ran out comfortable 4-2 winners in the Swiss Super League despite the home side hitting the woodwork and generating more shots overall.
Swiss Super LeagueSun 13 Sept, 15:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Basel won 4-2 away at Luzern.
Goals
6 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
O
1'⚽
Oscar Kabwit
RAssist: Rúben Dantas Fernandes
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Luzern 1.54 xGBasel 1.31 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Luzern to win
39%Missed
Result
2:4
LUZ v BAS
Our model leaned Luzern to win at 39%. Luzern 2-4 Basel. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Luzern fell to Basel 2-4 in a Swiss Super League match where our model's pick of a Luzern win at 39 percent probability did not land. Basel's recent form proved decisive; the visitors arrived with three wins in their last five matches and converted that momentum into a commanding away performance. Luzern, inconsistent with one win, three draws and one loss over the same stretch, could not contain Basel's attack despite both sides showing attacking intent throughout. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Luzern win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
LUZ
38.9%
Draw
23.9%
BAS
37.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
66.9%
Over 2.5 goals
66.9%
Full-time forecast audit: Luzern win was the highest probability; the match result was Basel win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.