This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.
Lorient 1-0 Monaco result, stats and report
Who won Lorient vs Monaco?
Lorient 1-0 Monaco, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land.
Editorial publication status
No Match Review published
The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Lorient 1–0 Monaco
Lorient host Monaco in Ligue 1 on Sunday 18 October 2026, and the gap in momentum between these two sides is difficult to ignore. Connor Maguire breaks down what the numbers tell us and what your eyes already know.
Lorient beat Monaco 1-0 at home.
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
The chances backed the result: Lorient 1.71 to Monaco 0.79 on expected goals.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Monaco to win
Result
1:0
Lorient v Monaco
📊 Match recap and data context
Lorient beat Monaco 1-0 at Stade du Moustoir in Ligue 1, with Noah Doriann Cadiou converting a penalty in the 61st minute to settle the match. Our model favored Monaco at 42 percent probability, a pick that did not land. Lorient's defense held firm despite Monaco's recent form; the visitors had scored in all five of their previous matches but could not find the net here. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Lorient v Monaco · Ligue 1 ·
More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Monaco win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.8%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
- Lorient
- 33.1%
- Draw
- 25.2%
- Monaco
- 41.8%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 57.9%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55.0%
Full-time forecast audit: Monaco win was the highest probability; the match result was Lorient win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
SportSignals Tip settlements
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact resultLogged at 3.70 with Betfair Sportsbook
Betfair Sportsbook offered 3.70 when we checked at 01:05 on 18 Oct.
Logged at 1.29 with William Hill
William Hill offered 1.29 when we checked at 01:05 on 18 Oct.
- Immutable Tips ledger · record 89a5e595-f9c9-415f-9859-76a9d99e9d68 · model publication version not recorded
- Immutable Tips ledger · record cfe444bc-6726-453f-81b6-cafbd3a05c94 · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
Final live-fact record
- For Monaco, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 29 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
- For Monaco, the final recorded goal situation matched 15 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
- For Lorient, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 29 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Lorient, the final recorded goal situation matched 12 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
- 2-2is the most common scoreline between Lorient and Monaco, landing 5 times across 18 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 11/18recorded league meetings saw both teams score (61.1%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 17league matches at home unbeaten for Lorient.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 10league matches away from home unbeaten for Monaco.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Lorient scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Monaco scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
Who scored the opening goal?
Noah Cadiou opened the scoring in the 61st minute.Who scored in the match?
Noah Cadiou (61').How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 6 yellow cards.Who refereed the match?
Marc Bollengier officiated.How many corners were there in the match?
7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.Did the model call it right?
No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.