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Ligue 1 · MW7 Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, LorientRef: Marc Bollengier
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Lorient 1-0 Monaco result, stats and report

Lorient
Won · xG 1.71
1 – 0
FT 02:25
Lost · xG 0.79
Monaco
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Le Havre v Lorient · Sun 8 Nov · Monaco v Nordsjælland · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LorientMonacoLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Monaco win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.8%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Lorient
33.1%
Draw
25.2%
Monaco
41.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.9%
Over 2.5 goals
55.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Monaco win was the highest probability; the match result was Lorient win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

33%
25%
42%
33.1%Lorient
25.2%Draw
41.8%Monaco

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 57.9%No 42.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.0%No 45.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Monaco or draw at 48.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.7%.

Double Chance

1X
45.9%
12
5.8%
X2
48.3%

Half-Time Result

Lorient
29.2%
Draw
41.6%
Monaco
29.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lorient
Draw
Monaco
Lorient
19.6%
5.7%
3.3%
Draw
12.3%
15.8%
13.7%
Monaco
2.4%
5.2%
22.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.7%
No
95.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.