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Norwegian Eliteserien · MW19Ref: Tore Hansen
Full time

This match had in-play prices; no live commentary, stats or momentum.

Lillestrøm 1-4 Fredrikstad result, stats and report

Lillestrøm
Lost · xG 1.29
1 – 4
FT
Won · xG 2.39
Fredrikstad
Next: Sparta Praha v Lillestrøm · Thu 15 Oct · Viking v Fredrikstad · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LillestrømFredrikstadNorwegian Eliteserien

The provider forecast gives Lillestrøm win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LIL
49.5%
Draw
21.7%
FRE
28.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.5%
Over 2.5 goals
65.6%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

50%
22%
29%
49.5%LIL
21.7%Draw
28.8%FRE

Both Teams to Score

65%
Yes 64.5%No 35.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

66%
Yes 65.6%No 34.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
44%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LIL or draw at 57.4%; the most likely half-time state is LIL leading at half-time at 40.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 13.4%.

Double Chance

1X
57.4%
12
3.6%
X2
39.0%

Half-Time Result

LIL
40.2%
Draw
36.4%
FRE
23.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LIL
Draw
FRE
LIL
31.5%
5.1%
2.5%
Draw
17.4%
11.7%
8.5%
FRE
4.0%
4.9%
14.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
13.4%
No
86.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.