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Ligue 1 · MW4 Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'AscqRef: Romain Lissorgue
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lille 2-0 Troyes result, stats and report

Lille
Won · xG 1.47
2 – 0
FT 06:25
Lost · xG 0.45
Troyes
Next: Lille v Galatasaray · Wed 21 Oct · Toulouse v Troyes · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LilleTroyesLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Lille win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.4%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Lille
45.4%
Draw
25.7%
TRO
29.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.3%
Over 2.5 goals
50.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Lille win was the highest probability; the match result was Lille win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
26%
29%
45.4%Lille
25.7%Draw
29.0%TRO

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.3%No 46.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.8%No 49.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lille or draw at 53.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.8%.

Double Chance

1X
53.6%
12
7.4%
X2
39.0%

Half-Time Result

Lille
31.8%
Draw
43.7%
TRO
24.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lille
Draw
TRO
Lille
23.7%
5.2%
2.7%
Draw
14.3%
17.2%
11.8%
TRO
2.3%
5.3%
17.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.8%
No
93.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.