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Ligue 1 · Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 14:00 KO Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq

Lille vs Troyes prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
13 Sept
Lille 47%Draw 26%TRO 27%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

LilleTroyesLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Lille win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.1%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Lille
47.1%
Draw
25.7%
TRO
27.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.5%
Over 2.5 goals
49.7%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

47%
26%
27%
47.1%Lille
25.7%Draw
27.2%TRO

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 52.5%No 47.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 49.7%No 50.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lille or draw at 53.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.1%.

Double Chance

1X
53.3%
12
7.4%
X2
39.3%

Half-Time Result

Lille
31.5%
Draw
45.2%
TRO
23.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lille
Draw
TRO
Lille
25.1%
5.4%
2.1%
Draw
15.6%
17.4%
11.0%
TRO
2.7%
5.1%
15.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.1%
No
92.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.