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Lille 2-0 Troyes, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land.
Lille were comfortable and controlled throughout, with Tiago Santos striking early and Ethan Mbappé finishing the job in stoppage time to give the hosts a clean sheet and three points.
Read the reviewNo minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Lille 2–0 Troyes
Lille were comfortable and controlled throughout, with Tiago Santos striking early and Ethan Mbappé finishing the job in stoppage time to give the hosts a clean sheet and three points.
Lille beat Troyes 2-0 at home.
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
The chances backed the result: Lille 1.47 to Troyes 0.45 on expected goals.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Lille to win
Result
2:0
Lille v TRO
Lille beat Troyes 2-0 at the Decathlon Arena. Our model favoured a Lille win at 45 percent probability, and the pick landed. Lille arrived in perfect form, unbeaten across their last five matches, while Troyes had managed just two wins in that span. The visitors failed to register a goal despite a 60 percent both-teams-to-score rate over their previous five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Lille v Troyes · Ligue 1 ·
More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
The provider forecast gives Lille win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.4%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Full-time forecast audit: Lille win was the highest probability; the match result was Lille win.
Forecast result checked ·
Logged at 4.94 with PinnacleNot licensed in the UK
Pinnacle offered this at 01:05 on 13 Sept, but you can't bet there from the UK.
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Logged at 4.94 with PinnacleNot licensed in the UK
Pinnacle offered this at 01:05 on 13 Sept, but you can't bet there from the UK.
The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.
Open the ledgerAfter 7 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.
