Live
My Signals
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Premier League · Mon, 14 Sept 2026, 20:00 KO Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire

Leeds vs Newcastle United prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
14 Sept
Leeds 41%Draw 25%Newcastle United 33%
Skip match sections

Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

LeedsNewcastle UnitedPremier League

The provider forecast gives Leeds win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.4%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Leeds
41.4%
Draw
25.2%
Newcastle United
33.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.0%
Over 2.5 goals
53.3%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
25%
33%
41.4%Leeds
25.2%Draw
33.5%Newcastle United

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.0%No 44.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 53.3%No 46.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
6.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Leeds or draw at 47.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.3%.

Double Chance

1X
47.7%
12
6.4%
X2
46.0%

Half-Time Result

Leeds
31.3%
Draw
41.8%
Newcastle United
26.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Leeds
Draw
Newcastle United
Leeds
23.0%
4.8%
2.7%
Draw
14.8%
15.9%
11.9%
Newcastle United
3.0%
5.6%
18.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.3%
No
93.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.