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Premier League · MW4 Elland Road, Leeds, West YorkshireRef: Michael Salisbury
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Leeds 4-1 Newcastle United result, stats and report

Leeds
Leeds
Won · xG 1.96
4 – 1
FT
Newcastle United
Lost · xG 0.77
Newcastle United
Match review
Next: Sunderland v Leeds · Sun 25 Oct · Crystal Palace v Newcastle United · Sun 25 Oct
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Who won Leeds vs Newcastle United?

Leeds 4-1 Newcastle United, full time in the Premier League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Leeds winning 0, Newcastle United winning 1 and 1 drawn.

How it played out

Leeds won it 4–1

LeedsNewcastle United

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 6 · 14:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Leeds 4–1 Newcastle United

Leeds put four past Newcastle United at Elland Road in a performance that was as ruthless as it was clinical. Newcastle never looked like they could live with it.

Premier LeagueMon 14 Sept, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Leeds beat Newcastle United 4-1 at home.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Leeds 1.96 to Newcastle United 0.77 on expected goals.

First Goal
D
34'⚽
Dominic Calvert-Lewin2 goals in match
JAssist: James Justin
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Leeds 1.96 xGNewcastle United 0.77 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'
📊 Match recap and data context

Leeds defeated Newcastle United 4-1 at Elland Road in a dominant Premier League display. Our model backed Newcastle at 38 percent probability; the pick missed. Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored twice, in the 34th and 45th minutes, while an own goal by Lewis Miley in the 32nd minute set the tone for a comprehensive home victory. Newcastle offered little resistance after a chaotic opening period. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Leeds v Newcastle United · Premier League ·

More from this competition: Premier League predictions · Premier League odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Dominic Calvert-LewinLeeds★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 78 min7.7
  2. Jayden BogleLeeds1 goal · 83 min7.5
  3. Tarik Muharemović1 assist · 90 min7.5
  4. Bazoumana Touré1 goal · 33 min7.3
  5. Noah OkaforLeeds1 goal · 72 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LeedsNewcastle UnitedPremier League

The provider forecast gives Newcastle United win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Leeds
37.4%
Draw
24.8%
Newcastle United
37.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.9%
Over 2.5 goals
54.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Newcastle United win was the highest probability; the match result was Leeds win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Other qualifying Tips

Como Vs SassuoloPlus TipFSV Mainz 05 Vs Werder BremenPlus Tip
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Leeds and Newcastle United, landing 2 times across 8 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5/8recorded league meetings saw both teams score (62.5%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5league matches at home unbeaten for Leeds.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Leeds scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Newcastle United scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Leeds have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Newcastle United have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin has the highest listed average xGOT for Leeds at 0.52 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Nick Pope has the highest listed average xGOT for Newcastle United at 0.47 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Leeds vs Newcastle United?
    Leeds beat Newcastle United 4-1 in the Premier League at Elland Road.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Lewis Miley opened the scoring in the 32nd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Lewis Miley (32', og), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (34'), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (46'), Noah Okafor (59'), Bazoumana Touré (90').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Michael Salisbury officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Leeds vs Newcastle United kicked off on Monday, 14 September 2026 UK time at Elland Road.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Leeds play Sunderland on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. Newcastle United play Crystal Palace on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.