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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Houston Dynamo led twice but could not hold on as Cincinnati's Kévin Denkey converted a stoppage-time penalty to earn a 2-2 draw in MLS. A gutless defensive display from the home side let Cincinnati off the hook despite being massively outshot.
Houston Dynamo led twice but could not hold on as Cincinnati's Kévin Denkey converted a stoppage-time penalty to earn a 2-2 draw in MLS. A gutless defensive display from the home side let Cincinnati off the hook despite being massively outshot.
Major League SoccerSun 20 Sept, 01:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Houston Dynamo and Cincinnati drew 2-2.
Goals
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
G
38'⚽
Guilherme
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Houston Dynamo 1.32 xGCincinnati 3.68 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Houston Dynamo to win
57%Missed
Result
2:2
HOU v CIN
Our model leaned Houston Dynamo to win at 57%. Houston Dynamo 2-2 Cincinnati. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Houston Dynamo and Cincinnati drew 2-2 in Major League Soccer. Our model backed Houston at 57 percent probability, a pick that missed. Guilherme opened the scoring in the 38th minute, and Mateusz Bogusz converted a penalty in the 51st to put Houston two goals clear. Cincinnati pulled back through Bryan Ramírez in the 73rd minute and found an equalizer to secure a point. Houston entered the match on two wins in five games; Cincinnati had won none of their last five. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Houston Dynamo v Cincinnati · Major League Soccer ·
The provider forecast gives Houston Dynamo win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
HOU
57.4%
Draw
21.3%
CIN
21.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.4%
Over 2.5 goals
60.7%
Full-time forecast audit: Houston Dynamo win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.