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Major League SoccerRef: Jair Marrufo
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Houston Dynamo 2-2 Cincinnati result, stats and report

Houston Dynamo
Drew · xG 1.32
2 – 2
FT 16:55
Drew · xG 3.68
Cincinnati
Next: Seattle Sounders v Houston Dynamo · Thu 29 Oct · Inter Miami v Cincinnati · Wed 28 Oct
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Who won Houston Dynamo vs Cincinnati?

Houston Dynamo 2-2 Cincinnati, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which landed.

Match Review · published 20 Sept 2026, 06:20 BST

Houston Dynamo 2-2 Cincinnati: Denkey Penalty Denies Dynamo in Stoppage Time

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Houston Dynamo led twice but could not hold on as Cincinnati's Kévin Denkey converted a stoppage-time penalty to earn a 2-2 draw in MLS. A gutless defensive display from the home side let Cincinnati off the hook despite being massively outshot.

Read the review
How it played out

Level at 2–2 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 16:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Houston Dynamo 2–2 Cincinnati

Houston Dynamo led twice but could not hold on as Cincinnati's Kévin Denkey converted a stoppage-time penalty to earn a 2-2 draw in MLS. A gutless defensive display from the home side let Cincinnati off the hook despite being massively outshot.

Key Takeaways
Result

Houston Dynamo and Cincinnati drew 2-2.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
G
38'⚽
Guilherme
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Houston Dynamo 1.32 xGCincinnati 3.68 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Houston Dynamo to win

57%Missed

Result

Houston Dynamo2:2Cincinnati

HOU v CIN

Our model leaned Houston Dynamo to win at 57%. Houston Dynamo 2-2 Cincinnati. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Houston Dynamo and Cincinnati drew 2-2 in Major League Soccer. Our model backed Houston at 57 percent probability, a pick that missed. Guilherme opened the scoring in the 38th minute, and Mateusz Bogusz converted a penalty in the 51st to put Houston two goals clear. Cincinnati pulled back through Bryan Ramírez in the 73rd minute and found an equalizer to secure a point. Houston entered the match on two wins in five games; Cincinnati had won none of their last five. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Houston Dynamo v Cincinnati · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Bryan Ramírez★ MOTM1 goal · 36 min7.9
  2. Miles Robinson90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Houston Dynamo win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HOU
57.4%
Draw
21.3%
CIN
21.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.4%
Over 2.5 goals
60.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Houston Dynamo win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Houston Dynamo and Cincinnati, landing once across 3 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3/3recorded league meetings saw both teams score (100%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 12league matches at home unbeaten for Houston Dynamo.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Houston Dynamo scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Cincinnati scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Houston Dynamo have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Cincinnati have averaged 2.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Diadié Samassékou has the highest listed average xGOT for Houston Dynamo at 0.57 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Kévin Denkey has the highest listed average xGOT for Cincinnati at 0.65 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Houston Dynamo vs Cincinnati?
    HOU and CIN drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Guilherme opened the scoring in the 38th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Guilherme (38'), Mateusz Bogusz (51'), Bryan Ramírez (73'), Kévin Denkey (97').
  • Who refereed the match?
    Jair Marrufo officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    HOU vs CIN kicked off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    HOU play Seattle Sounders on Thursday, 29 October 2026 UK time. CIN play Inter Miami on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.