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Bundesliga · MW4 Volksparkstadion, HamburgRef: Matthias Jöllenbeck
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Hamburger SV 2-1 1. FC Köln result, stats and report

Hamburger SV
Won · xG 1.56
2 – 1
FT 06:15
Lost · xG 1.85
1. FC Köln
Next: Paderborn v Hamburger SV · Sat 24 Oct · 1. FC Köln v Schalke 04 · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Hamburger SV1. FC KölnBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Hamburger SV win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Hamburger SV
39.8%
Draw
26.0%
1. FC Köln
34.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.1%
Over 2.5 goals
51.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Hamburger SV win was the highest probability; the match result was Hamburger SV win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
26%
34%
39.8%Hamburger SV
26.0%Draw
34.2%1. FC Köln

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.1%No 45.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 51.5%No 48.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
0-0
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates 1. FC Köln or draw at 47.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.5%.

Double Chance

1X
45.6%
12
7.4%
X2
47.0%

Half-Time Result

Hamburger SV
29.6%
Draw
38.9%
1. FC Köln
31.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Hamburger SV
Draw
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
19.7%
5.1%
3.4%
Draw
11.8%
14.7%
13.4%
1. FC Köln
2.5%
5.8%
23.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.5%
No
94.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.