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Bundesliga · MW4 Volksparkstadion, HamburgRef: Matthias Jöllenbeck
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Hamburger SV 2-1 1. FC Köln result, stats and report

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Won · xG 1.56
2 – 1
FT 06:15
1. FC Köln
Lost · xG 1.85
1. FC Köln
Match review
Next: Paderborn v Hamburger SV · Sat 24 Oct · 1. FC Köln v Schalke 04 · Sat 24 Oct
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Who won Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?

Hamburger SV 2-1 1. FC Köln, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Hamburger SV winning 0, 1. FC Köln winning 1 and 1 drawn.

Match Review · published 19 Sept 2026, 18:10 BST

Hamburger SV 2-1 Köln: Hamburg Hold On Despite Köln Domination

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Hamburger SV ground out a 2-1 Bundesliga win over 1. FC Köln despite being outplayed for long stretches, with goals from Nicolás Capaldo and Yussuf Poulsen proving enough after Ragnar Ache pulled one back in stoppage time.

Read the review
How it played out

Hamburger SV won it 2–1

Hamburger SV1. FC Köln

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 06:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Köln

Hamburger SV ground out a 2-1 Bundesliga win over 1. FC Köln despite being outplayed for long stretches, with goals from Nicolás Capaldo and Yussuf Poulsen proving enough after Ragnar Ache pulled one back in stoppage time.

BundesligaSat 19 Sept, 14:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Hamburger SV beat 1. FC Köln 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
N
44'⚽
Nicolás Capaldo
AAssist: Albert Grønbæk
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Hamburger SV 1.56 xG1. FC Köln 1.85 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Hamburger SV to win

40%Matched

Result

Hamburger SV2:11. FC Köln

Hamburger SV v 1. FC Köln

Our model called Hamburger SV to win at 40%. Hamburger SV 2-1 1. FC Köln. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Hamburger SV host 1. FC Köln on Saturday, 19 September at 13:30 UTC at the Volksparkstadion in a Bundesliga clash. Hamburg have won just once in their last five matches and show BTTS in 60% of recent games, while Köln are winless in five with BTTS occurring in all five outings. The head-to-head record favours neither side decisively across two meetings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Hamburger SV v 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Nicolás CapaldoHamburger SV★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.6
  2. Fábio VieiraHamburger SV90 min7.5
  3. Ragnar Ache1. FC Köln1 goal · 26 min7.3
  4. Luka Lochoshvili90 min7.2
  5. Marvin Schwäbe1. FC Köln90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Hamburger SV1. FC KölnBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Hamburger SV win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Hamburger SV
39.8%
Draw
26.0%
1. FC Köln
34.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.1%
Over 2.5 goals
51.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Hamburger SV win was the highest probability; the match result was Hamburger SV win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-2is the most common scoreline between Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln, landing 2 times across 11 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 7/11recorded league meetings saw both teams score (63.6%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hamburger SV scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 1. FC Köln scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hamburger SV have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 1. FC Köln have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga has the highest listed average xGOT for Hamburger SV at 0.24 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Thijs Dallinga has the highest listed average xGOT for 1. FC Köln at 1.09 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln?
    Hamburger SV beat 1. FC Köln 2-1 in the Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Nicolás Capaldo opened the scoring in the 44th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Nicolás Capaldo (44'), Yussuf Poulsen (49'), Ragnar Ache (90').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Matthias Jöllenbeck officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time at Volksparkstadion.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Hamburger SV play Paderborn on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. 1. FC Köln play Schalke 04 on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.