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Häcken 1-1 Mjällby, full time in Swedish Allsvenskan. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Häcken won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Mjällby bossed large parts of this match with 17 shots and 58% possession but could not find a winner, as Häcken held on after Jacob Bergström's early header was cancelled out by Julius Lindberg's second-half equaliser.
Mjällby bossed large parts of this match with 17 shots and 58% possession but could not find a winner, as Häcken held on after Jacob Bergström's early header was cancelled out by Julius Lindberg's second-half equaliser.
Swedish AllsvenskanFri 11 Sept, 18:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Häcken and Mjällby drew 1-1.
Goals
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
J
17'⚽
Jacob Bergström
AAssist: Abdullah Iqbal
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Häcken 1.37 xGMjällby 0.86 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Häcken to win
47%Missed
Result
1:1
HAC v MJÄ
Our model leaned Häcken to win at 47%. Häcken 1-1 Mjällby. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Häcken drew 1-1 with Mjällby in Swedish Allsvenskan, a result that saw our model's pick for a Häcken win at 47% probability miss the mark. Häcken came into the match on a mixed run of two wins, one draw and two losses over five games, while Mjällby had managed only one draw in their last five outings. The draw marked an upset to recent head-to-head form, which had favoured Häcken with one win in their sole prior meeting. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Häcken win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
HAC
46.6%
Draw
24.7%
MJÄ
28.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.9%
Over 2.5 goals
52.2%
Full-time forecast audit: Häcken win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.