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Eredivisie · MW9 Euroborg, GroningenRef: Dennis Higler
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

FC Groningen 2-5 Ajax result, stats and report

FC Groningen
Lost · xG 2.25
2 – 5
FT
Won · xG 3.21
Ajax
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: AZ Alkmaar v FC Groningen · Sun 8 Nov · Twente v Ajax · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FC GroningenAjaxEredivisie

The provider forecast gives Ajax win the highest 1X2 probability at 52.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FC Groningen
25.0%
Draw
22.7%
Ajax
52.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.9%
Over 2.5 goals
62.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Ajax win was the highest probability; the match result was Ajax win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

25%
23%
52%
25.0%FC Groningen
22.7%Draw
52.3%Ajax

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 61.9%No 38.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 62.8%No 37.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Ajax or draw at 57.6%; the most likely half-time state is Ajax leading at half-time at 41.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.1%.

Double Chance

1X
38.1%
12
4.3%
X2
57.6%

Half-Time Result

FC Groningen
25.4%
Draw
33.4%
Ajax
41.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
FC Groningen
Draw
Ajax
FC Groningen
15.3%
5.3%
4.6%
Draw
8.8%
11.3%
15.0%
Ajax
2.0%
5.8%
31.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.1%
No
95.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.