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La Liga 2 · MW5 Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, GironaRef: José Antonio Sánchez Villalobos
Full time

Girona 1-2 Castellón result, stats and report

Girona
Lost · xG 0.53
1 – 2
FT
Won · xG 3.39
Castellón
Next: Cádiz v Girona · Sat 19 Sept · Castellón v Tenerife · Sat 19 Sept
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

GironaCastellónLa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Castellón win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Girona
35.5%
Draw
25.8%
CAS
38.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.2%
Over 2.5 goals
57.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
26%
39%
35.5%Girona
25.8%Draw
38.7%CAS

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.2%No 39.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.1%No 42.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CAS or draw at 49.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.8%.

Double Chance

1X
44.6%
12
6.1%
X2
49.3%

Half-Time Result

Girona
29.0%
Draw
40.3%
CAS
30.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Girona
Draw
CAS
Girona
19.1%
6.2%
2.9%
Draw
11.8%
16.7%
12.8%
CAS
2.3%
5.9%
22.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.8%
No
94.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.