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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Girona controlled possession, corners, and shots but lost 1-2 to Castellón, who scored twice in the final ten minutes through Agustín Sienra and substitute Álvaro García to snatch all three points.
Girona controlled possession, corners, and shots but lost 1-2 to Castellón, who scored twice in the final ten minutes through Agustín Sienra and substitute Álvaro García to snatch all three points.
La Liga 2Sat 12 Sept, 17:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Castellón won 2-1 away at Girona.
Goals
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: Girona 0.53 to Castellón 3.39 on expected goals.
First Goal
H
7'⚽
Holmes Zamorano
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Girona 0.53 xGCastellón 3.39 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Castellón to win
39%Matched
Result
1:2
Girona v CAS
Our model called Castellón to win at 39%. Girona 1-2 Castellón. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Girona fell to Castellón 1-2 at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi in La Liga 2. Our model favored Castellón at 39 percent probability, and the pick landed. Girona had won their last match but came up short here despite entering on a run where both teams scored in every game. Castellón's superior form over five matches, with four wins from five, proved decisive on the day. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Castellón win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Girona
35.5%
Draw
25.8%
CAS
38.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.2%
Over 2.5 goals
57.1%
Full-time forecast audit: Castellón win was the highest probability; the match result was Castellón win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.