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Serie A · MW6 Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, GenovaRef: Fabio Maresca
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Genoa 2-1 Fiorentina result, stats and report

Genoa
Won · xG 1.01
2 – 1
FT 01:25
Lost · xG 1.18
Fiorentina
Next: Lecce v Genoa · Sun 1 Nov · Fiorentina v Atalanta · Thu 29 Oct
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Who won Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Genoa 2-1 Fiorentina, full time in Serie A. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

How it played out

Genoa won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 00:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina

Genoa ended a four-match losing run with a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Fiorentina, racing into a two-goal lead inside 15 minutes before Johan Vásquez's own goal gave the visitors a lifeline that ultimately came to nothing.

Key Takeaways
Result

Genoa beat Fiorentina 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
7'⚽
Milutin Osmajic
MAssist: Mikael Egill Ellertsson
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa 1.01 xGFiorentina 1.18 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Genoa to win

41%Matched

Result

Genoa2:1Fiorentina

Genoa v Fiorentina

Our model called Genoa to win at 41%. Genoa 2-1 Fiorentina. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Genoa hosts Fiorentina on Saturday at 1 p.m. UTC at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris in Serie A. Genoa have won none of their last five matches, posting two draws and three losses, while Fiorentina come in with two wins, one draw, and two losses over the same span. The sides drew their sole recent meeting. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Genoa v Fiorentina · Serie A ·

More from this competition: Serie A predictions · Serie A odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Milutin Osmajic★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.3
  2. Mikael Egill EllertssonGenoa1 assist · 82 min7.5
  3. Junior MessiasGenoa1 goal · 57 min7.4
  4. Cher NdourFiorentina90 min7.3
  5. Mateo Pellegrino25 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Genoa win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Genoa
40.5%
Draw
27.1%
Fiorentina
32.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.0%
Over 2.5 goals
52.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Genoa win was the highest probability; the match result was Genoa win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Fiorentina, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 37 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Fiorentina, the final recorded goal situation matched 23 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Genoa, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 37 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Genoa, the final recorded goal situation matched 17 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Genoa and Fiorentina, landing 7 times across 24 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 12/24recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Genoa scored first in 1 of their last 10 league matches (10%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Fiorentina scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Genoa have averaged 0.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Fiorentina have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Genoa vs Fiorentina?
    Genoa beat Fiorentina 2-1 in the Serie A at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Milutin Osmajic opened the scoring in the 7th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Milutin Osmajic (7'), Junior Messias (15'), Johan Vásquez (73', og).
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 8 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Fabio Maresca officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Genoa vs Fiorentina kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Genoa play Lecce on Sunday, 1 November 2026 UK time. Fiorentina play Atalanta on Thursday, 29 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.