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Swedish Allsvenskan · MW23Ref: Victor Wolf
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

GAIS 0-1 Sirius result, stats and report

GAIS
Lost · xG 1.14
0 – 1
FT 04:35
Won · xG 1.82
Sirius
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Kalmar v GAIS · Thu 29 Oct · Hammarby v Sirius · Thu 29 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

GAISSiriusSwedish Allsvenskan

The provider forecast gives GAIS win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

GAI
44.1%
Draw
24.8%
SIR
31.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.1%
Over 2.5 goals
56.5%

Full-time forecast audit: GAIS win was the highest probability; the match result was Sirius win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
25%
31%
44.1%GAI
24.8%Draw
31.1%SIR

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 58.1%No 41.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 56.5%No 43.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates GAI or draw at 56.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.4%.

Double Chance

1X
56.6%
12
5.9%
X2
37.5%

Half-Time Result

GAI
38.0%
Draw
41.5%
SIR
20.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
GAI
Draw
SIR
GAI
29.9%
5.3%
2.1%
Draw
14.7%
16.0%
9.9%
SIR
2.4%
4.8%
15.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.4%
No
91.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.