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Bundesliga · MW5 WWK Arena, AugsburgRef: Sven Jablonski
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayern München result, stats and report

FC Augsburg
Drew · xG 1.27
2 – 2
FT 01:25
Drew · xG 5.36
Bayern München
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Bayern München v 1. FC Köln · Fri 20 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FC AugsburgBayern MünchenBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Bayern München win the highest 1X2 probability at 67.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FC Augsburg
13.9%
Draw
18.3%
Bayern München
67.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.4%
Over 2.5 goals
63.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Bayern München win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

14%
18%
68%
13.9%FC Augsburg
18.3%Draw
67.8%Bayern München

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.4%No 46.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 63.2%No 36.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
44%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-2
9.7%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Bayern München or draw at 67.4%; the most likely half-time state is Bayern München leading at half-time at 54.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.1%.

Double Chance

1X
27.4%
12
5.2%
X2
67.4%

Half-Time Result

FC Augsburg
17.0%
Draw
28.4%
Bayern München
54.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
FC Augsburg
Draw
Bayern München
FC Augsburg
9.3%
3.2%
5.1%
Draw
5.6%
10.0%
15.3%
Bayern München
1.5%
4.2%
45.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.1%
No
97.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.