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Bundesliga · MW3 WWK Arena, AugsburgRef: Daniel Siebert
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen result, stats and report

FC Augsburg
Drew · xG 0.88
2 – 2
FT 07:35
Drew · xG 2.80
Bayer Leverkusen
Next: FC Augsburg v Union Berlin · Sat 24 Oct · 1899 Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FC AugsburgBayer LeverkusenBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Bayer Leverkusen win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FC Augsburg
36.0%
Draw
23.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
40.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.3%
Over 2.5 goals
62.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Bayer Leverkusen win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
23%
41%
36.0%FC Augsburg
23.2%Draw
40.7%Bayer Leverkusen

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 62.3%No 37.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 62.8%No 37.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
41%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.8%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.6%
1-0
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Bayer Leverkusen or draw at 52.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 36.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.3%.

Double Chance

1X
43.4%
12
4.5%
X2
52.1%

Half-Time Result

FC Augsburg
27.7%
Draw
36.9%
Bayer Leverkusen
35.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
FC Augsburg
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
20.0%
4.8%
3.7%
Draw
10.2%
13.4%
13.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
2.7%
5.5%
26.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.3%
No
92.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.