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Famalicão dominated possession and created more than enough to win, but Marítimo's clinical edge and a 90th-minute winner left the hosts with nothing. Connor Maguire breaks down how a side that controlled 67% of the ball ended up losing at home.
No immutable pre-kickoff prediction snapshot is recorded. Current provider rows are withheld so the completed-match archive cannot gain hindsight. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Pre-match facts retained
The immutable pre-match Match Facts snapshot is still being reconciled. Current provider rows are not substituted into the completed-match archive.
Famalicão dominated possession and created more than enough to win, but Marítimo's clinical edge and a 90th-minute winner left the hosts with nothing. Connor Maguire breaks down how a side that controlled 67% of the ball ended up losing at home.
Liga PortugalSun 16 Aug, 20:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Marítimo won 2-1 away at Famalicão.
Goals
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
F
8'⚽
Finn van Breemen
ÓAssist: Óscar Aranda
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Famalicão 0.81 xGMarítimo 1.25 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Famalicão to win
48%Missed
Result
1:2
FAM v CSM
Our model leaned Famalicão to win at 48%. Famalicão 1-2 Marítimo. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Famalicão fell to Marítimo 1-2 in Liga Portugal despite our model favouring a home win at 48 percent probability. The pick missed. Famalicão arrived on the back of one win and four draws across their last five matches, while Marítimo had won their previous outing. Both sides had shown a tendency toward both teams scoring in recent fixtures, with Famalicão at 60 percent and Marítimo at 100 percent in their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.