Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Liga Portugal · MW7Ref: Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Estoril 1-2 Casa Pia result, stats and report

Estoril
Estoril
Lost · xG 1.25
1 – 2
FT 06:45
Casa Pia
Won · xG 1.90
Casa Pia
Match review
Next: Estoril v Moreirense · Sun 25 Oct · Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia · Sat 24 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Estoril vs Casa Pia?

Estoril 1-2 Casa Pia, full time in Liga Portugal. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

CAS won it 2–1

ETRCAS

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 06:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Estoril 1–2 Casa Pia

Casa Pia came from behind to beat Estoril 2-1 at home, with substitute Benjamin Pauwels settling the match in the 89th minute after a frantic final quarter of football.

Liga PortugalSun 20 Sept, 18:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Casa Pia won 2-1 away at Estoril.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
R
70'⚽
Ricard Sánchez
JAssist: Jordan Holsgrove
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril 1.25 xGCasa Pia 1.90 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Estoril to win

44%Missed

Result

Estoril1:2Casa Pia

ETR v CAS

Our model leaned Estoril to win at 44%. Estoril 1-2 Casa Pia. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Estoril fell to Casa Pia 2-1 in Liga Portugal, a result that caught our model off guard. Our AI engine backed Estoril at 44 percent probability and missed the call. Ricard Sánchez levelled matters for Estoril in the 70th minute, but Casa Pia struck twice in quick succession through Selvi Clua and Benjamin Pauwels to seal the win. Estoril's recent form, which included three losses in five outings, proved insufficient against a visiting side that found the net despite limited recent scoring. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Estoril v Casa Pia · Liga Portugal ·

More from this competition: Liga Portugal predictions · Liga Portugal odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. João Rego★ MOTM87 min7.4
  2. Selvi Clua1 goal · 74 min7.2
  3. Benjamin Pauwels1 goal · 25 min7.2
  4. Milan Robin60 min7.0
  5. Nail Omerovic60 min6.8

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

EstorilCasa PiaLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Estoril win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ETR
43.7%
Draw
27.7%
CAS
28.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.5%
Over 2.5 goals
44.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Estoril win was the highest probability; the match result was Casa Pia win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Estoril and Casa Pia, landing 2 times across 8 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3/8recorded league meetings saw both teams score (37.5%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Casa Pia scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Estoril have averaged 0.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Casa Pia have averaged 0.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Tiago Parreira Parente has the highest listed average xGOT for Estoril at 0.80 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Cassiano has the highest listed average xGOT for Casa Pia at 0.61 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Estoril vs Casa Pia?
    CAS beat ETR 2-1 in the Liga Portugal.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Ricard Sánchez opened the scoring in the 70th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Ricard Sánchez (70'), Selvi Clua (72'), Benjamin Pauwels (89').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    ETR vs CAS kicked off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    11 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    ETR play Estoril on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. CAS play Estrela Amadora on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.