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Liga Portugal · MW7Ref: Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Estoril 1-2 Casa Pia result, stats and report

Estoril
Lost · xG 1.25
1 – 2
FT 06:45
Won · xG 1.90
Casa Pia
Next: Estoril v Moreirense · Sun 25 Oct · Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

EstorilCasa PiaLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Estoril win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ETR
43.7%
Draw
27.7%
CAS
28.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.5%
Over 2.5 goals
44.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Estoril win was the highest probability; the match result was Casa Pia win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
28%
29%
43.7%ETR
27.7%Draw
28.6%CAS

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 49.5%No 50.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

45%
Yes 44.7%No 55.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
23%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ETR or draw at 55.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.3%.

Double Chance

1X
55.8%
12
9.5%
X2
34.7%

Half-Time Result

ETR
35.4%
Draw
43.1%
CAS
21.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ETR
Draw
CAS
ETR
27.0%
5.6%
1.6%
Draw
16.9%
17.9%
9.7%
CAS
2.7%
5.4%
13.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.3%
No
94.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.