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Bundesliga · MW6Ref: Florian Exner
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This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Elversberg 4-3 FC Augsburg result, stats and report

Elversberg
Elversberg
Won · xG 4.34
4 – 3
FT 03:25
FC Augsburg
Lost · xG 3.99
FC Augsburg
Match review
Next: Borussia Dortmund v Elversberg · Sat 7 Nov · RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg · Sat 7 Nov
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Who won Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Elversberg 4-3 FC Augsburg, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Elversberg to win, which landed.

Match Review · published 18 Oct 2026, 00:10 BST

Elversberg 4-3 Augsburg: Seven-Goal Thriller Settled by Schmahl as Augsburg Throw Away Three-Goal Deficit

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Elversberg held on for a dramatic 4-3 Bundesliga win over FC Augsburg on Saturday, with Frederik Schmahl's 89th-minute goal proving the difference in a match that had everything. Augsburg mounted a serious second-half comeback but could not find a fourth, l…

Read the review
How it played out

ELV won it 4–3

ELVFC Augsburg

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 01:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg

Elversberg held on for a dramatic 4-3 Bundesliga win over FC Augsburg on Saturday, with Frederik Schmahl's 89th-minute goal proving the difference in a match that had everything. Augsburg mounted a serious second-half comeback but could not find a fourth, leaving Elversberg to claim all three points.

BundesligaSat 17 Oct, 14:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Elversberg beat FC Augsburg 4-3 at home.

Goals

7 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
L
4'⚽
Lukas Petkov
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Elversberg 4.34 xGFC Augsburg 3.99 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Elversberg to win

42%Matched

Result

Elversberg4:3FC Augsburg

ELV v FC Augsburg

Our model called Elversberg to win at 42%. Elversberg 4-3 FC Augsburg. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Elversberg hosts FC Augsburg in Bundesliga action on October 17 at 13:30 UTC. Elversberg have drawn three of their last five matches, while Augsburg arrive in stronger form with three wins in five. Both sides have seen both teams score in 80% of recent outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Elversberg v FC Augsburg · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Hennes BehrensFC Augsburg★ MOTM1 assist · 90 min8.3
  2. Lukas PetkovELV1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min7.9
  3. Lasse GüntherELV1 goal · 90 min7.9
  4. Maurice KrattenmacherELV2 assists · 78 min7.7
  5. Arijon IbrahimovicFC Augsburg74 min7.7

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ElversbergFC AugsburgBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Elversberg win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ELV
42.1%
Draw
23.9%
FC Augsburg
33.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.5%
Over 2.5 goals
65.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Elversberg win was the highest probability; the match result was Elversberg win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

8 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For FC Augsburg, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 3 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For FC Augsburg, the final recorded goal situation matched 16 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Elversberg, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 3 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Elversberg, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 5 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • FC Augsburg scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • FC Augsburg have averaged 2.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Maurice Krattenmacher has the highest listed average xGOT for Elversberg at 1.43 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Michael Gregoritsch has the highest listed average xGOT for FC Augsburg at 0.71 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?
    ELV beat FC Augsburg 4-3 in the Bundesliga.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Lukas Petkov opened the scoring in the 4th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Lukas Petkov (4'), Lasse Günther (7'), Maximilian Rohr (28'), Fabian Rieder (54'), Michael Gregoritsch (76'), Frederik Schmahl (89'), Mert Kömür (90').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 7 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Florian Exner officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    ELV vs FC Augsburg kicked off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    16 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Elversberg to win, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    ELV play Borussia Dortmund on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. FC Augsburg play RB Leipzig on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.