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Bundesliga · MW3Ref: Sascha Stegemann
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Elversberg 1-2 Bayern München result, stats and report

Elversberg
Lost · xG 1.03
1 – 2
FT 09:15
Won · xG 2.38
Bayern München
Next: RB Leipzig v Elversberg · Sat 24 Oct · Bayern München v Arsenal · Wed 21 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ElversbergBayern MünchenBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Bayern München win the highest 1X2 probability at 60.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ELV
19.1%
Draw
20.2%
Bayern München
60.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.4%
Over 2.5 goals
64.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Bayern München win was the highest probability; the match result was Bayern München win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

19%
20%
61%
19.1%ELV
20.2%Draw
60.7%Bayern München

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 59.4%No 40.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

64%
Yes 64.2%No 35.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
43%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
0-2
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Bayern München or draw at 60.1%; the most likely half-time state is Bayern München leading at half-time at 43.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.3%.

Double Chance

1X
35.6%
12
4.3%
X2
60.1%

Half-Time Result

ELV
21.9%
Draw
34.6%
Bayern München
43.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ELV
Draw
Bayern München
ELV
14.1%
4.8%
4.3%
Draw
7.7%
12.0%
13.9%
Bayern München
1.7%
4.6%
36.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.3%
No
96.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.