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Bundesliga · MW3Ref: Sascha Stegemann
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Elversberg 1-2 Bayern München result, stats and report

Elversberg
Elversberg
Lost · xG 1.03
1 – 2
FT 09:15
Bayern München
Won · xG 2.38
Bayern München
Match review
Next: RB Leipzig v Elversberg · Sat 24 Oct · Bayern München v Arsenal · Wed 21 Oct
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Who won Elversberg vs Bayern München?

Elversberg 1-2 Bayern München, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land.

Match Review · published 13 Sept 2026, 20:00 BST

Bayern Grind Out 2-1 Win at Elversberg Despite Going Behind

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Bayern München came from behind to beat Elversberg 2-1 in the Bundesliga, with Harry Kane's 72nd-minute strike settling a match Bayern dominated in every statistical category but nearly let slip.

Read the review
How it played out

Bayern München won it 2–1

ELVBayern München

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 09:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Elversberg 1–2 Bayern München

Bayern München came from behind to beat Elversberg 2-1 in the Bundesliga, with Harry Kane's 72nd-minute strike settling a match Bayern dominated in every statistical category but nearly let slip.

BundesligaSun 13 Sept, 16:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Bayern München won 2-1 away at Elversberg.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Elversberg 1.03 to Bayern München 2.38 on expected goals.

First Goal
L
26'⚽
Lennart Karl
HAssist: Harry Kane
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Elversberg 1.03 xGBayern München 2.38 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Bayern München to win

61%Matched

Result

Elversberg1:2Bayern München

ELV v Bayern München

Our model called Bayern München to win at 61%. Elversberg 1-2 Bayern München. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Bayern Munich won 2-1 at Elversberg in the Bundesliga, landing our model's 61% pick for a Munich victory. Elversberg opened the scoring but could not hold on against Bayern's superior form, which showed four wins in five matches coming in. The hosts matched their recent pattern of both teams scoring, though Bayern's defensive record suggested otherwise. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Elversberg v Bayern München · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Harry KaneBayern München★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.8
  2. Michael OliseBayern München90 min8.6
  3. Aleksandar PavlovicBayern München1 assist · 90 min7.9
  4. Ismael Saibari1 assist · 65 min7.6
  5. Maximilian RohrELV90 min7.6

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ElversbergBayern MünchenBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Bayern München win the highest 1X2 probability at 60.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ELV
19.1%
Draw
20.2%
Bayern München
60.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.4%
Over 2.5 goals
64.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Bayern München win was the highest probability; the match result was Bayern München win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 43league matches away from home unbeaten for Bayern München.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Bayern München scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Bayern München have averaged 3.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Maurice Krattenmacher has the highest listed average xGOT for Elversberg at 2.06 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Harry Kane has the highest listed average xGOT for Bayern München at 0.94 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Elversberg vs Bayern München?
    Bayern München beat ELV 2-1 in the Bundesliga.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Lennart Karl opened the scoring in the 26th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Lennart Karl (26'), Maurice Krattenmacher (61'), Harry Kane (72').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Sascha Stegemann officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    ELV vs Bayern München kicked off on Sunday, 13 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    12 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    ELV play RB Leipzig on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. Bayern München play Arsenal on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.