Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Bundesliga · MW1Ref: Robert Hartmann
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Elversberg 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen result, stats and report

Elversberg
Won · xG 1.25
3 – 2
FT
Lost · xG 0.37
Bayer Leverkusen
Next: Union Berlin v Elversberg · Sat 10 Oct · FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen · Sat 10 Oct
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ElversbergBayer LeverkusenBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Bayer Leverkusen win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ELV
37.3%
Draw
25.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
37.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
63.1%
Over 2.5 goals
62.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

37%
25%
38%
37.3%ELV
25.2%Draw
37.5%Bayer Leverkusen

Both Teams to Score

63%
Yes 63.1%No 36.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 62.1%No 37.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
0-1
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ELV or draw at 49.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.2%.

Double Chance

1X
49.8%
12
4.7%
X2
45.5%

Half-Time Result

ELV
32.9%
Draw
38.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
28.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ELV
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen
ELV
24.0%
5.2%
3.2%
Draw
12.3%
15.6%
11.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
2.5%
5.5%
20.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.2%
No
91.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.