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EFL Championship · MW9 Pride Park Stadium, DerbyRef: Matt Donohue
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Derby 1-1 Wrexham result, stats and report

Derby
Derby
Drew · xG 0.80
1 – 1
FT 05:15
Wrexham
Drew · xG 1.59
Wrexham
Match review
Next: Millwall v Derby · Sat 31 Oct · Sheffield Utd v Wrexham · Fri 30 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Derby vs Wrexham?

Derby 1-1 Wrexham, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

DerbyWrexham

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 03:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Derby 1–1 Wrexham

Wrexham came from behind to salvage a draw at Pride Park, with Oliver Rathbone's 88th-minute equaliser cancelling out Sammie Szmodics' early goal. Derby took a point they barely deserved.

EFL ChampionshipSat 10 Oct, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Derby and Wrexham drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
S
9'⚽
Sammie Szmodics
MAssist: Mohammed Fuseini
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Derby 0.80 xGWrexham 1.59 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Wrexham to win

41%Missed

Result

Derby1:1Wrexham

Derby v Wrexham

Our model leaned Wrexham to win at 41%. Derby 1-1 Wrexham. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Derby and Wrexham drew 1-1 at Pride Park Stadium in an even Championship contest. Sammie Szmodics gave Derby the lead in the ninth minute, but Oliver Rathbone equalised for Wrexham in the eighty-eighth. Our model backed a Wrexham win at 41 percent probability; the pick missed. Both teams found the net, continuing a pattern of both-teams-to-score outcomes in recent fixtures. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Derby v Wrexham · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Kieffer MooreWrexham★ MOTM1 assist · 90 min7.5
  2. Oliver RathboneWrexham1 goal · 75 min7.5
  3. Sammie SzmodicsDerby1 goal · 72 min7.5
  4. Callum O'Hare90 min7.1
  5. Sondre LangåsDerby90 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

DerbyWrexhamEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Wrexham win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Derby
30.8%
Draw
28.0%
Wrexham
41.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.9%
Over 2.5 goals
42.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Wrexham win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Wrexham, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 3 checked matches: 0% win, 50% draw, 50% loss.Verified final
  • For Wrexham, the final recorded goal situation matched 18 comparable matches from 54 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Derby, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 3 checked matches: 50% win, 50% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Derby, the final recorded goal situation matched 22 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Derby and Wrexham, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2/2recorded league meetings saw both teams score (100%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Derby scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Wrexham scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Derby have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Wrexham have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Derby vs Wrexham?
    Derby and Wrexham drew 1-1 in the EFL Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Sammie Szmodics opened the scoring in the 9th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Sammie Szmodics (9'), Oliver Rathbone (88').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Matt Donohue officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Derby vs Wrexham kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time at Pride Park Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Derby play Millwall on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. Wrexham play Sheffield Utd on Friday, 30 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.