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Dallas 2-1 Portland Timbers, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Dallas ground out a 2-1 win over Portland Timbers despite being outplayed for large stretches, with Joaquín Valiente's 87th-minute strike proving the difference after Ariel Lassiter pulled one back in stoppage time.
Dallas ground out a 2-1 win over Portland Timbers despite being outplayed for large stretches, with Joaquín Valiente's 87th-minute strike proving the difference after Ariel Lassiter pulled one back in stoppage time.
Major League SoccerSun 13 Sept, 01:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Dallas beat Portland Timbers 2-1 at home.
Goals
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
Dallas won against the run of the chances: Dallas 0.67 to Portland Timbers 1.75 on expected goals, which favoured Portland Timbers.
First Goal
L
45'⚽
Logan Farrington
SAssist: Shaq Moore
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Dallas 0.67 xGPortland Timbers 1.75 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Dallas to win
48%Matched
Result
2:1
DAL v POT
Our model called Dallas to win at 48%. Dallas 2-1 Portland Timbers. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Dallas beat Portland Timbers 2-1 in Major League Soccer. Our model backed a Dallas win at 48 percent probability, and the pick landed. Both teams had scored in four of their last five matches apiece, though Dallas proved more clinical in converting chances. The visitors managed to find the net despite a difficult recent run that included two losses in their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Dallas win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
DAL
48.1%
Draw
24.8%
POT
27.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.5%
Over 2.5 goals
55.3%
Full-time forecast audit: Dallas win was the highest probability; the match result was Dallas win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.