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UEFA Europa Conference League · MW1Ref: João António Ferreira Gonçalves
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

CSKA Sofia 1-2 Monaco result, stats and report

CSKA Sofia
Lost · xG 1.24
1 – 2
FT 03:25
Won · xG 1.21
Monaco
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia · Thu 5 Nov · Monaco v Nordsjælland · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Monaco win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CSKA Sofia
29.0%
Draw
23.9%
Monaco
47.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.8%
Over 2.5 goals
53.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Monaco win was the highest probability; the match result was Monaco win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

29%
24%
47%
29.0%CSKA Sofia
23.9%Draw
47.1%Monaco

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 52.8%No 47.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 53.4%No 46.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.5%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
6.7%
0-0
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Monaco or draw at 47.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.4%.

Double Chance

1X
46.1%
12
6.5%
X2
47.4%

Half-Time Result

CSKA Sofia
30.7%
Draw
41.5%
Monaco
27.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CSKA Sofia
Draw
Monaco
CSKA Sofia
23.3%
4.4%
2.5%
Draw
12.5%
14.6%
12.7%
Monaco
3.0%
4.4%
22.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.4%
No
94.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.