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UEFA Europa Conference League · MW1Ref: João António Ferreira Gonçalves
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

CSKA Sofia 1-2 Monaco result, stats and report

CSKA Sofia
Lost · xG 1.24
1 – 2
FT 03:25
Won · xG 1.21
Monaco
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia · Thu 5 Nov · Paris FC v Monaco · Sun 1 Nov
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Who won CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?

CSKA Sofia 1-2 Monaco, full time in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

Monaco won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 04:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

CSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco

CSKA Sofia have not conceded a single goal in their two Conference League matches. Monaco have scored seven in two. Something has to give on Thursday evening in Sofia.

Key Takeaways
Result

Monaco won 2-1 away at CSKA Sofia.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
P
3'⚽
Paris Brunner
SAssist: Stanis Idumbo
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

CSKA Sofia 1.24 xGMonaco 1.21 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Monaco to win

47%Matched

Result

CSKA Sofia1:2Monaco

CSKA Sofia v Monaco

Our model called Monaco to win at 47%. CSKA Sofia 1-2 Monaco. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Monaco won 2-1 at CSKA Sofia in the Europa Conference League, landing our model's pick at 47% probability. Brunner opened the scoring in the third minute, and Fati doubled the lead by the 43rd minute before Zwarts pulled one back for the hosts in the 76th. Monaco's recent form, which included three wins in their last five, proved decisive despite CSKA Sofia's late pressure. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

CSKA Sofia v Monaco · UEFA Europa Conference League ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Paris BrunnerMonaco★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.1
  2. Ansu FatiMonaco1 goal · 77 min7.8
  3. Lukas HradeckyMonaco90 min7.5
  4. J. TezeMonaco90 min7.2
  5. Edan Diop90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Monaco win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CSKA Sofia
29.0%
Draw
23.9%
Monaco
47.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.8%
Over 2.5 goals
53.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Monaco win was the highest probability; the match result was Monaco win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

7 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Monaco, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 2 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For CSKA Sofia, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 19 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Monaco, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 1 comparable match from 2 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For CSKA Sofia, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 3 comparable matches from 19 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • CSKA Sofia scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • CSKA Sofia have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Mika Biereth has the highest listed average xGOT for Monaco at 0.73 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Paris Brunner opened the scoring in the 3rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Paris Brunner (3'), Ansu Fati (43'), Joël Zwarts (76').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    João António Ferreira Gonçalves officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    CSKA Sofia vs Monaco kicked off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    13 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    CSKA Sofia play Panathinaikos on Thursday, 5 November 2026 UK time. Monaco play Paris FC on Sunday, 1 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.