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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Paxten Aaronson's first-half penalty was enough for Colorado Rapids to take all three points against CF Montréal, who dominated possession but lacked the cutting edge to convert their chances.
Paxten Aaronson's first-half penalty was enough for Colorado Rapids to take all three points against CF Montréal, who dominated possession but lacked the cutting edge to convert their chances.
Major League SoccerSun 13 Sept, 02:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Colorado Rapids beat CF Montréal 1-0 at home.
Goals
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: Colorado Rapids 2.48 to CF Montréal 0.98 on expected goals.
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Colorado Rapids 2.48 xGCF Montréal 0.98 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Colorado Rapids to win
63%Matched
Result
1:0
CLR v CFM
Our model called Colorado Rapids to win at 63%. Colorado Rapids 1-0 CF Montréal. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Colorado Rapids beat CF Montréal 1-0 at home in Major League Soccer. Our model favored the Rapids at 63 percent probability, and the pick landed. Colorado's recent form had been poor, sitting at zero wins, one draw and four losses across their last five matches. Montréal arrived in similarly weak shape with one win, one draw and three losses in their last five. The Rapids' defensive solidity proved decisive in a low-scoring contest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Colorado Rapids v CF Montréal · Major League Soccer ·
The provider forecast gives Colorado Rapids win the highest 1X2 probability at 62.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
CLR
62.9%
Draw
21.3%
CFM
15.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.4%
Over 2.5 goals
56.3%
Full-time forecast audit: Colorado Rapids win was the highest probability; the match result was Colorado Rapids win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
2-1is the most common scoreline between Colorado Rapids and CF Montréal, landing 2 times across 8 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
7/8recorded league meetings saw both teams score (87.5%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
13league matches at home unbeaten for Colorado Rapids.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Colorado Rapids scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
CF Montréal scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
Colorado Rapids have averaged 0.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
CF Montréal have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Wayne Frederick has the highest listed average xGOT for Colorado Rapids at 0.61 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Prince Owusu has the highest listed average xGOT for CF Montréal at 0.62 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?