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Liga Portugal · MW8Ref: Iancu Ioan Vasilica
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Casa Pia 0-1 Santa Clara result, stats and report

Casa Pia
Lost · xG 0.38
0 – 1
FT 07:55
Won · xG 0.74
Santa Clara
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Casa Pia v Sporting CP · Fri 30 Oct · Marítimo v Santa Clara · Sun 1 Nov
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Who won Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?

Casa Pia 0-1 Santa Clara, full time in Liga Portugal. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

SAN won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 07:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara

Casa Pia have not scored in five consecutive Liga Portugal matches and face a Santa Clara side who have not lost in their last five. Something has to give on Saturday.

Key Takeaways
Result

Santa Clara won 1-0 away at Casa Pia.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
V
90'⚽
Vasconcelos
LAssist: Lucas Soares
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Casa Pia 0.38 xGSanta Clara 0.74 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Santa Clara to win

48%Matched

Result

Casa Pia0:1Santa Clara

CAS v SAN

Our model called Santa Clara to win at 48%. Casa Pia 0-1 Santa Clara. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Santa Clara won 1-0 at Casa Pia in Liga Portugal. Our model backed Santa Clara at 48 percent probability and the pick landed. Casa Pia's David Sousa was sent off in the 52nd minute, shifting the match decisively; Vasconcelos scored the winner in the 90+2nd minute. Santa Clara extended their recent form with a third win in five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Casa Pia v Santa Clara · Liga Portugal ·

More from this competition: Liga Portugal predictions · Liga Portugal odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. João Rego★ MOTM90 min6.9
  2. Selvi Clua90 min6.8
  3. Henrique Araújo54 min6.5
  4. Benjamin Pauwels79 min6.5
  5. Evans Maurin11 min6.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Santa Clara win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CAS
23.6%
Draw
28.2%
SAN
48.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
43.5%
Over 2.5 goals
39.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Santa Clara win was the highest probability; the match result was Santa Clara win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Santa Clara, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 7 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Santa Clara, the final recorded goal situation matched 26 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Casa Pia, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 7 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Casa Pia, the final recorded goal situation matched 19 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Casa Pia and Santa Clara, landing 2 times across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (33.3%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 8league matches away from home unbeaten for Santa Clara.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Casa Pia scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Santa Clara scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Casa Pia have averaged 0.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
    SAN beat CAS 1-0 in the Liga Portugal.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Vasconcelos opened the scoring in the 92nd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Vasconcelos (92').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 7 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Iancu Ioan Vasilica officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    CAS vs SAN kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    CAS play Casa Pia on Friday, 30 October 2026 UK time. SAN play Marítimo on Sunday, 1 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.