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Liga Portugal · MW8Ref: Iancu Ioan Vasilica
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Casa Pia 0-1 Santa Clara result, stats and report

Casa Pia
Lost · xG 0.38
0 – 1
FT 07:55
Won · xG 0.74
Santa Clara
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Casa Pia v Sporting CP · Fri 30 Oct · Marítimo v Santa Clara · Sun 1 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Casa PiaSanta ClaraLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Santa Clara win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CAS
23.6%
Draw
28.2%
SAN
48.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
43.5%
Over 2.5 goals
39.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Santa Clara win was the highest probability; the match result was Santa Clara win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

24%
28%
48%
23.6%CAS
28.2%Draw
48.2%SAN

Both Teams to Score

43%
Yes 43.5%No 56.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

39%
Yes 39.1%No 60.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
66%
Over 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
19%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SAN or draw at 57.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 47.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.2%.

Double Chance

1X
31.7%
12
11.0%
X2
57.4%

Half-Time Result

CAS
17.7%
Draw
47.2%
SAN
35.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CAS
Draw
SAN
CAS
11.4%
4.3%
2.6%
Draw
8.4%
17.9%
18.7%
SAN
1.5%
5.2%
30.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.2%
No
98.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.