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UEFA Europa League · MW2 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, DorsetRef: Jérôme Brisard
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Bournemouth 3-0 Sturm Graz result, stats and report

Bournemouth
Won · xG 3.32
3 – 0
FT 06:15
Lost · xG 0.41
Sturm Graz
Next: Ipswich v Bournemouth · Sun 8 Nov · Sturm Graz v Salzburg · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BournemouthSturm GrazUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Bournemouth win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Bournemouth
45.5%
Draw
25.4%
STU
29.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.0%
Over 2.5 goals
49.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Bournemouth win was the highest probability; the match result was Bournemouth win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
25%
29%
45.5%Bournemouth
25.4%Draw
29.2%STU

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.0%No 51.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 49.7%No 50.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates STU or draw at 46.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.1%.

Double Chance

1X
45.4%
12
8.2%
X2
46.4%

Half-Time Result

Bournemouth
32.4%
Draw
37.7%
STU
30.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Bournemouth
Draw
STU
Bournemouth
24.8%
4.4%
2.4%
Draw
13.2%
13.2%
11.6%
STU
2.7%
5.3%
22.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.1%
No
92.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.