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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Bournemouth put Sturm Graz to the sword at home in the UEFA Europa League, with Evanilson, Rayan, and a late penalty completing a commanding 3-0 win. Sturm arrived depleted and left embarrassed.
Bournemouth put Sturm Graz to the sword at home in the UEFA Europa League, with Evanilson, Rayan, and a late penalty completing a commanding 3-0 win. Sturm arrived depleted and left embarrassed.
UEFA Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Bournemouth beat Sturm Graz 3-0 at home.
Goals
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: Bournemouth 3.32 to Sturm Graz 0.41 on expected goals.
First Goal
E
43'⚽
Evanilson
AAssist: Adam Smith
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth 3.32 xGSturm Graz 0.41 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Bournemouth to win
45%Matched
Result
3:0
Bournemouth v STU
Our model called Bournemouth to win at 45%. Bournemouth 3-0 Sturm Graz. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Bournemouth defeated Sturm Graz 3-0 at the Vitality Stadium in Europa League action. Our model backed a Bournemouth win at 45% probability, and the pick landed. Evanilson opened the scoring in the 43rd minute, Rayan added a second in the 76th, and Álvaro Rodríguez converted a penalty in stoppage time to seal the result. Bournemouth's dominance was complete across the 90 minutes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Bournemouth win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Bournemouth
45.5%
Draw
25.4%
STU
29.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.0%
Over 2.5 goals
49.7%
Full-time forecast audit: Bournemouth win was the highest probability; the match result was Bournemouth win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
7 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Sturm Graz, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 37 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Bournemouth, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 1 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Sturm Graz, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 3 comparable matches from 37 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Bournemouth, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 0 comparable matches from 1 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
Sturm Graz scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Sturm Graz have averaged 0.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Rayan has the highest listed average xGOT for Bournemouth at 0.11 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?