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Bundesliga · Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 14:30 KO BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
12 Sept
Borussia Dortmund 57%Draw 23%PAD 20%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

Borussia DortmundPaderbornBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Borussia Dortmund win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.3%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Borussia Dortmund
57.3%
Draw
22.5%
PAD
20.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.9%
Over 2.5 goals
54.7%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

57%
23%
20%
57.3%Borussia Dortmund
22.5%Draw
20.2%PAD

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 52.9%No 47.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 54.7%No 45.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Borussia Dortmund or draw at 59.4%; the most likely half-time state is Borussia Dortmund leading at half-time at 40.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.7%.

Double Chance

1X
59.4%
12
6.4%
X2
34.1%

Half-Time Result

Borussia Dortmund
40.7%
Draw
37.8%
PAD
21.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Borussia Dortmund
Draw
PAD
Borussia Dortmund
33.2%
5.3%
2.3%
Draw
15.7%
14.0%
8.3%
PAD
3.9%
4.0%
13.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.7%
No
88.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.