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Bundesliga · MW3 BVB Stadion Dortmund, DortmundRef: Harm Osmers
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Paderborn result, stats and report

Borussia Dortmund
Won · xG 1.64
3 – 0
FT 07:26
Lost · xG 0.45
Paderborn
Next: Sabah v Borussia Dortmund · Tue 20 Oct · Paderborn v Hamburger SV · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Borussia DortmundPaderbornBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Borussia Dortmund win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Borussia Dortmund
57.8%
Draw
22.8%
PAD
19.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.6%
Over 2.5 goals
54.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Borussia Dortmund win was the highest probability; the match result was Borussia Dortmund win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

58%
23%
19%
57.8%Borussia Dortmund
22.8%Draw
19.4%PAD

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.6%No 48.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 54.5%No 45.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Borussia Dortmund or draw at 60.9%; the most likely half-time state is Borussia Dortmund leading at half-time at 40.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 12.2%.

Double Chance

1X
60.9%
12
6.9%
X2
32.2%

Half-Time Result

Borussia Dortmund
40.7%
Draw
37.8%
PAD
21.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Borussia Dortmund
Draw
PAD
Borussia Dortmund
33.9%
5.4%
2.1%
Draw
14.8%
13.2%
8.9%
PAD
3.7%
4.5%
13.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
12.2%
No
87.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.