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Bundesliga · MW3 BVB Stadion Dortmund, DortmundRef: Harm Osmers
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Paderborn result, stats and report

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Won · xG 1.64
3 – 0
FT 07:26
Paderborn
Lost · xG 0.45
Paderborn
Match review
Next: Sabah v Borussia Dortmund · Tue 20 Oct · Paderborn v Hamburger SV · Sat 24 Oct
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Who won Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn?

Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Paderborn, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land.

How it played out

Borussia Dortmund won it 3–0

Borussia DortmundPAD

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 07:26Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Paderborn

Borussia Dortmund eased past Paderborn 3-0 at home, with Fábio Silva opening early and Felix Nmecha wrapping up the points with two late goals to continue Dortmund's strong home form.

BundesligaSat 12 Sept, 14:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Borussia Dortmund beat Paderborn 3-0 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Borussia Dortmund 1.64 to Paderborn 0.45 on expected goals.

First Goal
F
5'⚽
Fábio Silva
SAssist: Serhou Guirassy
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Borussia Dortmund 1.64 xGPaderborn 0.45 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Borussia Dortmund to win

58%Matched

Result

Borussia Dortmund3:0Paderborn

Borussia Dortmund v PAD

Our model called Borussia Dortmund to win at 58%. Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Paderborn. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Borussia Dortmund host Paderborn at BVB Stadion Dortmund on Saturday, 12 September at 13:30 UTC in a Bundesliga fixture. Dortmund have won three of their last five matches; Paderborn have taken points in four of theirs, though both sides show moderate BTTS rates of 40 and 60 percent respectively. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Borussia Dortmund v Paderborn · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Felix NmechaBorussia Dortmund★ MOTM2 goals · 25 min8.6
  2. Daniel SvenssonBorussia Dortmund90 min7.6
  3. Nico SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund77 min7.6
  4. Fábio SilvaBorussia Dortmund1 goal · 65 min7.4
  5. Nahuel Noll90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Borussia DortmundPaderbornBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Borussia Dortmund win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Borussia Dortmund
57.8%
Draw
22.8%
PAD
19.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.6%
Over 2.5 goals
54.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Borussia Dortmund win was the highest probability; the match result was Borussia Dortmund win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-6is the most common scoreline between Borussia Dortmund and Paderborn, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (75%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 41league matches at home unbeaten for Borussia Dortmund.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Borussia Dortmund scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Borussia Dortmund have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Paderborn have averaged 0.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Luca Reggiani has the highest listed average xGOT for Borussia Dortmund at 0.82 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Santiago Castañeda has the highest listed average xGOT for Paderborn at 0.40 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn?
    Borussia Dortmund beat PAD 3-0 in the Bundesliga at BVB Stadion Dortmund.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Fábio Silva opened the scoring in the 5th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Fábio Silva (5'), Felix Nmecha (80'), Felix Nmecha (89').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Harm Osmers officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Borussia Dortmund vs PAD kicked off on Saturday, 12 September 2026 UK time at BVB Stadion Dortmund.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Borussia Dortmund play Sabah on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 UK time. PAD play Paderborn on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.