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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Southampton created four big chances and missed three of them as Birmingham dug in for a 1-1 Championship draw, with Keven Schlotterbeck's header cancelled out by August Priske's second-half equaliser.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
16
13
4
4
37%
63%
ShotsOn targetPossession
Provider final · 07:25 · archive check in progressFull stats →
The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.
📊 Match recap and data context
Birmingham and Southampton drew 1-1 at St Andrew's in an EFL Championship fixture that confounded our model's Southampton Win pick, which carried 37% probability and missed. Birmingham arrived in strong form with one win in their last five outings, while Southampton had drawn blanks in recent matches despite a perfect both-teams-to-score record in that span. The stalemate left both sides without three points. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Southampton win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Birmingham
36.9%
Draw
26.1%
Southampton
37.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.3%
Over 2.5 goals
52.1%
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
For Southampton, the final recorded goal situation matched 8 comparable matches from 18 checked matches: 25% win, 50% draw, 25% loss.Verified final
For Southampton, the final recorded goal situation matched 26 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 3.9% win, 96.2% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Birmingham, the final recorded goal situation matched 8 comparable matches from 18 checked matches: 25% win, 50% draw, 25% loss.Verified final
For Birmingham, the final recorded goal situation matched 26 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
3-1is the most common scoreline between Birmingham and Southampton, landing 2 times across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
4/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (100%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
28league matches at home unbeaten for Birmingham.Immutable lifecycle evidence
11league matches away from home unbeaten for Southampton.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Birmingham scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Southampton scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Birmingham vs Southampton?