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EFL Championship · MW18 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Southampton vs Middlesbrough prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Southampton or Middlesbrough?

Southampton vs Middlesbrough kicks off UK time in the EFL Championship. The match is at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Southampton winning 1, Middlesbrough winning 0 and 1 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Southampton v Middlesbrough: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
10.4
xG for
10▼ -0.4
Goals
8.2
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
13.8
xG for
15▲ +1.2
Goals
5.7
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
SouthamptonNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Southampton recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W31.48
2D02.05
3W12.58
4W10.85
5L11.46
6W41.95
MiddlesbroughNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Middlesbrough recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W53.51
2D23.06
3W32.04
4W11.08
5D22.39
6D21.73
Southampton have taken more points than their chances were worth: 13 points against 9.7 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Southampton generated 10.4 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 0.4 below that chance total. Middlesbrough generated 13.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 15, 1.2 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Southampton: 6 matches · Middlesbrough: 6
Recent team comparison. Southampton sample 6; Middlesbrough sample 6.
MeasureSouthamptonMiddlesbrough
Goals / game1.672.5
Conceded / game0.831.5
xG / game1.732.3
xG conceded / game1.370.95
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Southampton v Middlesbrough

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
Southampton11 starters
41Peretz
1McCarthy
17Quarshie
3Manning
10Azaz
4Downes
24Charles
27Matsuki
9Armstrong
19Archer
46Robinson
Middlesbrough11 starters
2Brittain
29Malanda
12Ayling
5Jones
18Morris
8McGree
14Gilbert
9Conway
11Whittaker
22Silvera
10Burgzorg
Out / doubtful
🩹 Daniel Peretz injury · 🩹 Caspar Jander injury · ❓ Taylor Harwood-Bellis suspended · 🩹 Mads Roerslev injury · 🩹 Alfie Jones injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Southampton v Middlesbrough · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Southampton vs Middlesbrough?
    Southampton vs Middlesbrough takes place on Friday 27 November at 20:00 (UK time) in the EFL Championship at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Middlesbrough?
    In their last 2 meetings, Southampton won 1, Middlesbrough won 0, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Southampton vs Middlesbrough?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for EFL Championship coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Southampton vs Middlesbrough free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Southampton vs Middlesbrough are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 27 Nov, 20:00 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.