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EFL Championship · MW11 St Andrew's Stadium, BirminghamRef: Thomas Kirk
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Birmingham 3-0 QPR result, stats and report

Birmingham
Won · xG 1.33
3 – 0
FT 03:45
Lost · xG 1.06
QPR
Next: Birmingham v Swansea · Sat 7 Nov · QPR v Lincoln City · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BirminghamQPREFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Birmingham win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Birmingham
45.1%
Draw
28.8%
QPR
26.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.4%
Over 2.5 goals
43.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Birmingham win was the highest probability; the match result was Birmingham win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
29%
26%
45.1%Birmingham
28.8%Draw
26.1%QPR

Both Teams to Score

46%
Yes 46.4%No 53.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

43%
Yes 43.2%No 56.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
23%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
8.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Birmingham or draw at 49.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.1%.

Double Chance

1X
49.9%
12
11.1%
X2
39.1%

Half-Time Result

Birmingham
32.0%
Draw
41.2%
QPR
26.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Birmingham
Draw
QPR
Birmingham
23.7%
6.4%
2.6%
Draw
14.2%
15.5%
11.3%
QPR
2.8%
6.0%
17.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.1%
No
94.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.