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EFL Championship · MW11 St Andrew's Stadium, BirminghamRef: Thomas Kirk
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Birmingham 3-0 QPR result, stats and report

Birmingham
Birmingham
Won · xG 1.33
3 – 0
FT 03:45
QPR
Lost · xG 1.06
QPR
Match review
Next: Birmingham v Swansea · Sat 7 Nov · QPR v Lincoln City · Sat 7 Nov
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Who won Birmingham vs QPR?

Birmingham 3-0 QPR, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Birmingham won it.

How it played out

Birmingham won it 3–0

BirminghamQPR

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 01:36Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Birmingham 3–0 QPR

Birmingham put QPR to the sword at St. Andrew's, with Liam Millar scoring twice and Demarai Gray adding a late third to complete a thoroughly deserved three-nil victory. QPR had the ball but not the bottle.

EFL ChampionshipSat 17 Oct, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Birmingham beat QPR 3-0 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
L
27'⚽
Liam Millar2 goals in match
TAssist: Tomoki Iwata
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Birmingham 1.33 xGQPR 1.06 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Birmingham to win

45%Matched

Result

Birmingham3:0QPR

Birmingham v QPR

Our model called Birmingham to win at 45%. Birmingham 3-0 QPR. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Birmingham beat QPR 3-0 at St Andrew's in the Championship. Our model backed a Birmingham win at 45% probability, and the pick landed. Liam Millar scored twice, in the 27th and 49th minutes, before Demarai Gray added a third in the 90th minute. The home side controlled the match throughout, keeping a clean sheet despite QPR's recent tendency to find the net. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Birmingham v QPR · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Liam MillarBirmingham★ MOTM2 goals · 71 min8.5
  2. Tomoki IwataBirmingham2 assists · 90 min8.3
  3. Phil NeumannBirmingham90 min7.9
  4. Christoph KlarerBirmingham90 min7.8
  5. Ronnie EdwardsQPR90 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

BirminghamQPREFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Birmingham win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Birmingham
45.1%
Draw
28.8%
QPR
26.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.4%
Over 2.5 goals
43.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Birmingham win was the highest probability; the match result was Birmingham win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For QPR, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 26 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For QPR, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Birmingham, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 26 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Birmingham, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-1is the most common scoreline between Birmingham and QPR, landing 4 times across 20 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 11/20recorded league meetings saw both teams score (55%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 40league matches at home unbeaten for Birmingham.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 5league matches away from home unbeaten for QPR.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Birmingham scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • QPR scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Birmingham vs QPR?
    Birmingham beat QPR 3-0 in the EFL Championship at St Andrew's Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Liam Millar opened the scoring in the 27th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Liam Millar (27'), Liam Millar (49'), Demarai Gray (91').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Thomas Kirk officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Birmingham vs QPR kicked off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time at St Andrew's Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    4 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Birmingham play Swansea on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. QPR play Lincoln City on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.