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Bundesliga · MW6 BayArena, LeverkusenRef: Florian Badstübner
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg result, stats and report

Bayer Leverkusen
Won · xG 1.55
2 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.98
SC Freiburg
Next: Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille · Thu 5 Nov · Trabzonspor v SC Freiburg · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Bayer LeverkusenSC FreiburgBundesliga

The provider forecast gives Bayer Leverkusen win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Bayer Leverkusen
55.7%
Draw
23.9%
SC Freiburg
20.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.0%
Over 2.5 goals
54.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Bayer Leverkusen win was the highest probability; the match result was Bayer Leverkusen win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

56%
24%
20%
55.7%Bayer Leverkusen
23.9%Draw
20.4%SC Freiburg

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.0%No 46.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 54.4%No 45.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Bayer Leverkusen or draw at 61.5%; the most likely half-time state is Bayer Leverkusen leading at half-time at 40.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.4%.

Double Chance

1X
61.5%
12
6.0%
X2
32.4%

Half-Time Result

Bayer Leverkusen
40.8%
Draw
39.1%
SC Freiburg
20.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
35.4%
5.2%
1.7%
Draw
17.8%
13.0%
6.5%
SC Freiburg
3.2%
5.8%
11.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.4%
No
88.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.