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Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Freiburg, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Bayer Leverkusen winning 1, SC Freiburg winning 0 and 1 drawn.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
SC Freiburg came from behind to win 2-1 at Bayer Leverkusen, with Patrik Schick's 76th-minute strike settling a game Leverkusen dominated in territory but could not control where it mattered. Ibrahim Maza and Schick did the damage for an away side that arri…
SC Freiburg came from behind to win 2-1 at Bayer Leverkusen, with Patrik Schick's 76th-minute strike settling a game Leverkusen dominated in territory but could not control where it mattered. Ibrahim Maza and Schick did the damage for an away side that arrived with a point to prove and left with three.
BundesligaSun 18 Oct, 14:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Bayer Leverkusen beat SC Freiburg 2-1 at home.
Goals
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
D
14'⚽
Derry Scherhant
PAssist: Philipp Treu
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayer Leverkusen 1.55 xGSC Freiburg 0.98 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
📊 Match recap and data context
Bayer Leverkusen beat SC Freiburg 2-1 at the BayArena. Our model backed a Leverkusen win at 56% probability, and the pick landed. Freiburg struck first through Derry Scherhant in the 14th minute, but Leverkusen equalized via Ibrahim Maza five minutes later. Patrik Schick's 76th-minute goal proved decisive. The result snapped Freiburg's streak of both teams scoring in their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Bayer Leverkusen win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Bayer Leverkusen
55.7%
Draw
23.9%
SC Freiburg
20.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.0%
Over 2.5 goals
54.4%
Full-time forecast audit: Bayer Leverkusen win was the highest probability; the match result was Bayer Leverkusen win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
For SC Freiburg, the final recorded goal situation matched 7 comparable matches from 34 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For SC Freiburg, the final recorded goal situation matched 13 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Bayer Leverkusen, the final recorded goal situation matched 7 comparable matches from 34 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Bayer Leverkusen, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
2-1is the most common scoreline between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Freiburg, landing 4 times across 25 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
16/25recorded league meetings saw both teams score (64%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
42league matches at home unbeaten for Bayer Leverkusen.Immutable lifecycle evidence
2league matches away from home unbeaten for SC Freiburg.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Bayer Leverkusen scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
SC Freiburg scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?