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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem II, full time in the Eredivisie. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land.
AZ Alkmaar dominated possession and created chance after chance but could not hold on, as Willem II snatched a deserved point through Devin Haen's 81st-minute finish to end the hosts' perfect Eredivisie run.
Read the reviewNo minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II
AZ Alkmaar dominated possession and created chance after chance but could not hold on, as Willem II snatched a deserved point through Devin Haen's 81st-minute finish to end the hosts' perfect Eredivisie run.
AZ Alkmaar and Willem II drew 1-1.
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
AZ Alkmaar to win
Result
1:1
AZ Alkmaar v WIL
AZ Alkmaar and Willem II drew 1-1 at AFAS Stadion in an Eredivisie match where our model favored the hosts at 62 percent probability, a pick that did not land. AZ had won three of their last five matches but could not break through despite their form advantage. Both teams scored, continuing a pattern; Willem II had found the net in all five recent outings while AZ had seen goals at both ends in 60 percent of theirs. The stalemate left points on the table for the home side. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
AZ Alkmaar v Willem II · Eredivisie ·
More from this competition: Eredivisie predictions · Eredivisie odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
The provider forecast gives AZ Alkmaar win the highest 1X2 probability at 61.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Full-time forecast audit: AZ Alkmaar win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
After 10 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.
