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Eredivisie · Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 19:00 KO AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar 62%Draw 23%WIL 15%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

AZ AlkmaarWillem IIEredivisie

The provider forecast gives AZ Alkmaar win the highest 1X2 probability at 62.2%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

AZ Alkmaar
62.2%
Draw
22.8%
WIL
15.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.2%
Over 2.5 goals
51.9%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

62%
23%
15%
62.2%AZ Alkmaar
22.8%Draw
15.0%WIL

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 48.2%No 51.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 51.9%No 48.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AZ Alkmaar or draw at 61.0%; the most likely half-time state is AZ Alkmaar leading at half-time at 42.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 14.0%.

Double Chance

1X
61.0%
12
7.8%
X2
31.1%

Half-Time Result

AZ Alkmaar
42.3%
Draw
39.1%
WIL
18.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
WIL
AZ Alkmaar
37.2%
5.1%
1.8%
Draw
16.0%
14.1%
6.9%
WIL
3.8%
4.7%
10.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
14.0%
No
86.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.