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Eredivisie · MW11 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
31 Oct
Ajax 56%Draw 21%AZ Alkmaar 23%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Ajax or AZ Alkmaar?

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar kicks off UK time in the Eredivisie. The match is at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. Our model's pick is Ajax to win at a 56.7% modelled probability.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Ajax has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Ajax56.2%
Draw20.7%
BTTS yes63.4%

Updated

Over 2.564.8%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
14.8
xG for
16▲ +1.2
Goals
7.6
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
10.0
xG for
9▼ -1.0
Goals
7.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
AjaxNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Ajax recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.80
2W53.21
3L11.68
4D11.41
5D23.32
6W53.35
AZ AlkmaarNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

AZ Alkmaar recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W41.37
2D21.36
3W22.25
4L01.28
5W12.17
6L01.53
Ajax have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 11 points against 12.1 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Ajax generated 14.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 16, 1.2 above that chance total. AZ Alkmaar generated 10.0 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 1.0 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Ajax: 6 matches · AZ Alkmaar: 6
Recent team comparison. Ajax sample 6; AZ Alkmaar sample 6.
MeasureAjaxAZ Alkmaar
Goals / game2.671.5
Conceded / game1.331
xG / game2.471.67
xG conceded / game1.271.3
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Ajax v AZ Alkmaar

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
Ajax11 starters
15Baas
30Bouwman
2Rosa
3Gaaei
18Klaassen
24Mokio
10Gloukh
6Regeer
25Weghorst
23Berghuis
19Konadu
AZ Alkmaar11 starters
3Goes
22Dijkstra
15Chávez
23Duijl
4Dekker
6Koopmeiners
10Mijnans
27Daal
35Meerdink
9Parrott
24Oufkir
Out / doubtful
🩹 Anton Gaaei injury · 🩹 Steven Berghuis injury · 🩹 Oliver Edvardsen injury · ❓ Hobie Verhulst suspended · 🩹 Kees Smit injury · 🩹 Wouter Goes injury · 🩹 Jizz Hornkamp injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Ajax v AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie ·

More from this competition: Eredivisie predictions · Eredivisie odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
    Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar takes place on Saturday 31 October at 20:00 (UK time) in the Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
  • Who is the model backing in Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
    Our model's pick is Ajax to win (match result), with around 57% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • How can I watch Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Eredivisie coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 31 Oct, 20:00 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.