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Eredivisie · MW11 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
31 Oct
Ajax 57%Draw 21%AZ Alkmaar 22%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
Skip match sections

Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

AjaxAZ AlkmaarEredivisie

The provider forecast gives Ajax win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.8%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Ajax
56.8%
Draw
20.8%
AZ Alkmaar
22.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.1%
Over 2.5 goals
63.6%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

57%
21%
22%
56.8%Ajax
20.8%Draw
22.4%AZ Alkmaar

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 62.1%No 37.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

64%
Yes 63.6%No 36.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
41%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.1%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Ajax or draw at 64.4%; the most likely half-time state is Ajax leading at half-time at 50.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 15.3%.

Double Chance

1X
64.4%
12
4.0%
X2
31.5%

Half-Time Result

Ajax
50.0%
Draw
31.1%
AZ Alkmaar
18.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Ajax
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
41.9%
4.7%
2.5%
Draw
16.3%
9.7%
5.9%
AZ Alkmaar
4.0%
4.2%
10.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
15.3%
No
84.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.