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Eredivisie · MW7 AFAS Stadion, AlkmaarRef: Sander van der Eijk
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Telstar result, stats and report

AZ Alkmaar
Won · xG 2.17
1 – 0
FT 02:45
Lost · xG 0.26
Telstar
Next: Ajax v AZ Alkmaar · Sat 31 Oct · Telstar v Utrecht · Sun 1 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AZ AlkmaarTelstarEredivisie

The provider forecast gives AZ Alkmaar win the highest 1X2 probability at 70.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AZ Alkmaar
70.0%
Draw
19.0%
Telstar
11.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.1%
Over 2.5 goals
55.5%

Full-time forecast audit: AZ Alkmaar win was the highest probability; the match result was AZ Alkmaar win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

70%
19%
70.0%AZ Alkmaar
19.0%Draw
11.0%Telstar

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 47.1%No 52.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 55.5%No 44.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AZ Alkmaar or draw at 71.8%; the most likely half-time state is AZ Alkmaar leading at half-time at 58.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 18.8%.

Double Chance

1X
71.8%
12
6.5%
X2
21.8%

Half-Time Result

AZ Alkmaar
58.9%
Draw
29.5%
Telstar
11.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
55.1%
3.8%
0.8%
Draw
17.2%
8.5%
3.2%
Telstar
3.9%
2.8%
4.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
18.8%
No
81.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.