This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.
Austin 1-4 Nashville SC result, stats and report
Who won Austin vs Nashville SC?
Austin 1-4 Nashville SC, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.
Editorial publication status
No Match Review published
The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Austin 1–4 Nashville SC
Nashville SC arrive at Austin in commanding form, having won six of their last ten in MLS. Austin have not kept a single clean sheet in that same window. Something has to give.
Nashville SC won 4-1 away at Austin.
5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
The chances backed the result: Austin 1.03 to Nashville SC 4.08 on expected goals.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Austin to win
Result
1:4
ATX v NSH
📊 Match recap and data context
Austin fell to Nashville SC 4-1 at home, a result that bucked our model's 37% pick for an Austin victory. Nashville struck early through Reed Baker-Whiting in the 30th minute and added two more goals via Elias Saad in the 67th and another unmarked finish to put the match beyond reach. Brandon Vazquez pulled one back for Austin in the 76th minute, but the hosts could not mount a comeback. Both sides had entered the match with identical 60% both-teams-to-score rates over their previous five games, though Nashville's superior finishing proved decisive. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Austin v Nashville SC · Major League Soccer ·
More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Austin win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- ATX
- 37.2%
- Draw
- 28.5%
- NSH
- 34.3%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 52.0%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45.9%
Full-time forecast audit: Austin win was the highest probability; the match result was Nashville SC win.
Forecast result checked ·
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
Final live-fact record
- For Nashville SC, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 6 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Nashville SC, the final recorded goal situation matched 8 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Austin, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 6 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
- For Austin, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
- 0-2is the most common scoreline between Austin and Nashville SC, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 1/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (25%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 20league matches at home unbeaten for Austin.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 8league matches away from home unbeaten for Nashville SC.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Austin scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Nashville SC scored first in 9 of their last 10 league matches (90%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
What was the final score in Austin vs Nashville SC?
NSH beat ATX 4-1 in the Major League Soccer.Who scored the opening goal?
Reed Baker-Whiting opened the scoring in the 30th minute.Who scored in the match?
Reed Baker-Whiting (30'), Elias Saad (67'), Brandon Vazquez (76'), Shak Mohammed (88'), Hany Mukhtar (91').How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 3 yellow cards.Who refereed the match?
Ismail Elfath officiated.When and where was the match played?
ATX vs NSH kicked off on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time.How many corners were there in the match?
10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.Did the model call it right?
No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.When do they play next?
ATX play Austin on Thursday, 29 October 2026 UK time. NSH play Nashville SC on Thursday, 29 October 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.