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Premier League · Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 15:00 KO Villa Park, Birmingham

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
12 Sept
Aston Villa 41%Draw 25%Nottingham Forest 34%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

Aston VillaNottingham ForestPremier League

The provider forecast gives Aston Villa win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.8%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Aston Villa
40.8%
Draw
24.8%
Nottingham Forest
34.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.3%
Over 2.5 goals
59.8%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
25%
34%
40.8%Aston Villa
24.8%Draw
34.4%Nottingham Forest

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 61.3%No 38.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%
Yes 59.8%No 40.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Aston Villa or draw at 53.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.0%.

Double Chance

1X
53.9%
12
5.2%
X2
40.8%

Half-Time Result

Aston Villa
35.4%
Draw
40.4%
Nottingham Forest
24.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Aston Villa
Draw
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
26.4%
6.1%
2.8%
Draw
14.1%
15.2%
11.1%
Nottingham Forest
3.4%
5.7%
15.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.0%
No
92.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.